When discussions of national decline arise in the UK, attention usually drifts to taxation, the chronic strain on the NHS, rising living costs, or the burden of student debt. Energy, however, is rarely mentioned—despite being central to the country’s economic malaise. This omission is striking, given that the UK suffers from some of the highest energy prices in the world, quietly but relentlessly eroding industrial strength, household finances, and long-term growth.
The UK’s energy crisis is neither loud nor sudden. It is structural, persistent, and deeply damaging. Yet within this dysfunction lies an uncomfortable paradox—and a narrow path to extraordinary economic potential.
The Two Faces of Energy Consumption
Energy use broadly falls into two categories: direct fuel consumption, such as petrol for transport and gas for heating, and electricity consumption, which is increasingly the dominant pillar of modern economies.
On direct fuel use, the UK performs moderately. Petrol prices align broadly with European averages, and industrial gas prices are not extreme by continental standards. Electricity, however, tells a far darker story.
UK electricity prices are among the highest in the developed world. Industrial users pay around 27 pence per kilowatt-hour, the highest rate among advanced economies. Domestic consumers pay roughly 30 pence per kilowatt-hour, second only to Germany. This was not always the case. As recently as the early 2010s, UK electricity prices were competitive with peers. The escalation since then has been economically devastating.
Electricity Costs and Economic Damage
Excessive electricity prices have accelerated de-industrialisation, increased inflationary pressures, and suppressed total energy consumption—an alarming indicator, given that energy use and GDP tend to rise together. Worse still, high electricity costs actively obstruct decarbonisation by discouraging electrification across transport, heating, and industry.
In effect, the UK has created an energy system that is simultaneously expensive, fragile, and counterproductive to climate goals.
The Marginal Pricing Trap
Much of the blame falls on the UK’s electricity pricing model. Power generation operates through frequent auctions in which generators bid the price at which they can supply electricity. Bids are ranked from cheapest to most expensive until demand is met. Crucially, every accepted generator is paid the price of the most expensive unit required—a structure known as marginal pricing.
This system made sense when electricity was overwhelmingly produced by fossil fuels with similar costs. It no longer does.
Today’s energy mix has vastly different generation costs. Renewable sources such as wind and solar can supply electricity at extremely low prices, yet if gas-fired plants are needed to fill even a small gap, gas sets the price for everyone. Consumers pay gas-level prices even when most electricity is produced far more cheaply.
The second flaw is severe. Renewable output rarely meets total demand, so gas-fired plants are almost always required. Between 2015 and 2021, gas set the wholesale electricity price 98% of the time in the UK—more than any other European country. This leaves the UK uniquely exposed to international gas markets, a vulnerability brutally exposed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Why Other Gas-Dependent Countries Pay Less
Marginal pricing alone cannot explain the UK’s extreme electricity costs. Many European countries also rely heavily on gas. Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Greece depend on gas for pricing most of the time. Others rely indirectly on gas through imports or gas-linked hydropower pricing. Yet none suffer electricity prices as high as Britain’s.
The explanation lies in deeper market dysfunction.
Grid Failure and the Cost of Chaos
After prices are set, the system operator must confirm whether electricity can physically flow to where it is needed. Increasingly, the answer is no.
Cheap wind power is often generated in Scotland, while demand is concentrated in southern England. The grid frequently lacks the capacity to move this electricity south. When this happens, wind farms are paid despite being unable to deliver power, while more expensive generators closer to demand centres are activated to fill the gap. This creates a double cost—paying for unused cheap energy and then paying again for expensive substitutes.
These balancing costs were negligible decades ago when coal and gas plants were evenly distributed. Today, with renewables geographically concentrated and the grid outdated, they are exploding. Balancing costs are expected to quadruple between 2022 and 2026, further inflating electricity prices.
Why the UK Is Still Dependent on Gas
The deeper question remains: why does the UK rely so heavily on gas?
The answer is bleak. Nuclear power has been crippled by overregulation and spiralling construction costs. Solar power, while expanding rapidly—the UK now has around 18 GW of installed capacity across 1.8 million installations—faces bottlenecks in planning permission and grid connection queues rather than sunlight itself. Wind energy, while abundant, is becoming more expensive to deploy, as recent government auctions reveal. There are no easy substitutes, only constrained options.
The Hidden Opportunity
Amid this dysfunction lies a startling revelation. Despite consuming remarkably little energy, the UK remains a high-income economy. In most countries, energy consumption closely tracks GDP per capita. The UK is a rare exception.
Energy use has collapsed, yet GDP per capita has remained resilient. As a result, the UK now generates more economic output per unit of energy than any other major economy.
However, it is important to note that the UK’s service-based economy is naturally less energy-intensive than manufacturing-heavy economies like Germany. While lower energy costs could improve economic performance, the structure of the UK economy means gains will likely be more moderate than in heavily industrialised nations.
Even so, the underlying message is clear: the UK’s energy constraints are limiting an enormous reservoir of unrealised potential. With smarter energy policies, better grid infrastructure, and reduced bottlenecks in renewable deployment, the country could unlock wealth and growth far beyond current expectations.
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