The latest economic figures from China reveal a landmark achievement: the nation’s trade surplus has surpassed $1 trillion for the first time in history—and the year isn’t even over. A trade surplus represents the difference between the value of what a country exports and what it imports.
According to China’s customs authority, from January to November, the country exported $1.08 trillion more than it brought in, breaking last year’s full-year record. This milestone comes despite the prolonged trade tensions with the United States. Although Washington and Beijing reached a temporary ceasefire in late October after a series of tariff escalations, November still saw Chinese exports to the U.S. fall by almost 29%.
However, China’s exports to other regions are growing rapidly. Shipments to the European Union and to ASEAN nations surged by 15% and 8% respectively. This historic surplus highlights China’s continued dependence on export-driven manufacturing at a time when domestic consumption remains weak. Even so, the OECD believes China is still on track to meet its 5% growth target for the year, noting the country’s transition toward green technologies, digital modernization, and industrial restructuring.
While this trade surplus strengthens China’s global economic position, it poses rising concerns for Europe. European leaders are increasingly alarmed by Beijing’s industrial strategies—particularly massive subsidies for factories and the deliberate undervaluing of the yuan. These policies allow China to flood overseas markets with low-cost goods such as electric vehicles, solar power equipment, and consumer electronics.
China now exports twice as much to Europe as it imports from the continent, widening the EU’s trade deficit. In a recent interview with a French business publication, President Emmanuel Macron cautioned that Europe may need to adopt tariffs similar to those the U.S. has imposed on Chinese goods. His remarks followed a three-day state visit to China. Meanwhile, Germany’s foreign minister, visiting Beijing soon after, emphasized that China’s industrial overcapacity threatens German manufacturers—especially the nation’s auto sector. He stressed that stable global trade depends on fair competition and consistent rules.
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